What is your weather like ... today

j.w

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Yahooo!!!!


Scott Sistek Meteorologist

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‘SEVERE’ GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH COULD MEAN NORTHERN LIGHTS OVER SEATTLE MONDAY
There’s a decent chance the Northern Lights may come out Monday night — and the skies will actually somewhat cooperate!
The sun has let loose a strong “coronal mass ejection” (CME) as part of a recent solar flare, and the results are promising to trigger the aurora.
NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center has issued a Level 4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch on their 5-point scale, and the timing couldn’t be much better. Winter is prime time because the nights are longer so you’ve got several hours of darkness to catch the display. Usually timing that with clear skies is futile but we’ve lucked into a rare stretch of clear weather so— cross fingers!
The CME is scheduled to arrive Monday evening - it may be a skosh early here and arrive before sunset, but since it’s solid dark by 6 p.m. I think we’ll still be in the storm if the timing holds.
HOW GOOD COULD THE DISPLAY BE?
A Level 4 storm, if it reaches that intensity, would be on the rarer side here. NOAA calls that “severe” levels — just one rung below the “extreme” Level 5.
For comparison, that epic sighting we had on May 10, 2024 where sightings were overhead in Seattle and visible in the Caribbean was a Level 5 storm. But level 4 storms would still be a decent display around here if it verifies.
HOW CAN I SEE THEM?
The best bets are to find a place with flat northern horizon away from city lights, especially any city lights to your north.
The Cascades are a good spot but just getting out into the foothills or far suburbs would work. The displays ebb and flow so what may be a dud at one moment could suddenly burst into a spectacular show 30 minutes later, so it takes some patience.
HOW COME IT DOESN’T LOOK LIKE THE PICTURES I SEE ONLINE WHEN I LOOK UP?
Be sure to bring along your phone or a camera. Your camera lens will pick up the colors much more vividly than your eyes, which are not as sensitive to color in the darkness. But most modern day phone cameras are good enough to see them.
The photos I’ve posted below are mine from the 2014 event but simply off my iPhone camera set on a 3 second exposure. Just have a way to hold the phone still.
WHAT’S THE WEATHER LOOK LIKE?
Well, it certainly won’t rain
😛
There may be some mid-level clouds floating around this evening but all in all should be good for Western Washington and the Cascades. Fog should be somewhat limited too in the evening. Just be ready for temps to quickly drop once the sun sets.
HOWEVER, DO NOT GO TO EASTERN WASHINGTON (Sorry, East WA!)
Usually Northern Lights enthusiasts know to head into central or eastern Washington to dodge the city lights and get great aurora displays, but just about everywhere east of the Cascades is still stuck in the winter fog soup.
If you go out aurora hunting, best of luck!
 

JBtheExplorer

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Wow and we may be able to see it at a decent time before bedtime!

Possibly. They still don't have a good way to predict timing so it's really hard to say when to expect it. One thing to note is that the G4 storm watch is as high of a storm watch as they'll put out, so there's still a chance even for G5!

Our weather forecast here has changed from "passing clouds" to "mostly cloudy" until after midnight so I'm not sure if I'll get to see it at all.

EDIT: Oh, the CME just impacted!
 
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JBtheExplorer

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Skies are looking potentially better tonight. We'll see. Europe is lighting up like crazy right now.

Oh, and Microsoft Flight Simulator's live weather system even incorporates auroras!

Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024-2026_01_19-22-56-35.jpg
 

j.w

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Decided to go out and take a peak and instantly saw this green patch. Wayyy too cold though.

View attachment 170974
Didn't see a thing here, kept looking and nothing. Maybe tonight?
I agree.................wayyyyyyyyyyyyy too cold out there!
At least I can see what you capture on your camera.
 

j.w

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I found out it happened much later after I went to bed. Oh well, I refuse to stay up later and freeze my buns off to see this so I may never see it. Lots of nice photo's out there on my facebook tho from near me!
 

JBtheExplorer

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I monitored it online until about midnight. The conditions weren't improving so I went to bed. It was so cold that I was ok with nothing else happening.

More snow in the forecast tonight 1"-3", and then the forecast gets even colder later this week. Low temps forecasted to be -12°F with -20 to -30 windchills. Parts of Wisconsin could see windchills down to -45! 🥶 I may try to sneak in a short hike tomorrow before that extreme cold sets in, but unlikely.
 
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j.w

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I monitored it online until about midnight. The conditions weren't improving so I went to bed. It was so cold that I was ok with nothing else happening.

More snow in the forecast tonight 1"-3", and then the forecast gets even colder later this week. Low temps forecasted to be -12°F with -20 to -30 windchills. Parts of Wisconsin could see windchills down to -45! 🥶 I may try to sneak in a short hike tomorrow before that extreme cold sets in, but unlikely.
I shall look out there again tonight and see but I'm going to bed and not staying up all night. I can see photo's from everyone who suffered through the cold and late night showings,lol!
 

JBtheExplorer

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I shall look out there again tonight and see but I'm going to bed and not staying up all night. I can see photo's from everyone who suffered through the cold and late night showings,lol!

Looks like they lit up around 5am here. I saw some cool photos out of Milwaukee and Chicago.
 

j.w

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Lots of high 30's and low 40's in the long term forecast all the way into March. Could it be that Spring is coming early?!
Rained here yesterday and frogs were chirping,not really that warm either. Maybe they know something we don't know?
 

addy1

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We have a potential noreaster coming this weekend which means snow.
 

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